Cycle progress: 51.12%
Block time estimated at 10 minutes
Bitcoin Historical Price and Halving Milestones
This chart shows Bitcoin daily historical closing prices from 19 Jul 2010 to 30 Apr 2026. The current dataset contains 5,764 daily records, with the latest closing price at $76,305 (UTC date 30 Apr 2026), the highest historical close at $124,774 (06 Oct 2025), and the lowest historical close at $0.05 (23 Jul 2010). The chart also marks the four Bitcoin halving events in 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024 to help visualize price-cycle changes around each halving.
Data methodology: UTC daily closing prices sourced from btc_daily.csv. This chart is designed to illustrate long-term market structure and Bitcoin halving cycles. It does not constitute financial advice.
View the last 30 BTC daily closing prices (SSR table)
UTC Date
Close (USD)
$76,305
$75,810
$76,310
$77,305
$78,678
$77,621
$77,439
$78,295
$78,311
$76,360
$75,791
$73,900
$75,766
$77,264
$75,090
$74,736
$74,232
$74,559
$70,640
$73,124
$72,959
$71,756
$71,099
$72,196
$68,809
$68,995
$67,289
$66,901
$66,876
$68,122
Bitcoin historical price chart showing daily closing prices from
19 Jul 2010 to
30 Apr 2026,
including the four major Bitcoin halving events in 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024.
All dates are based on UTC.
Halving Block Height
Date (UTC)
Bitcoin Price (USD)
210,000
28 Nov 2012
12.20
420,000
9 Jul 2016
650.32
630,000
11 May 2020
8,604.00
840,000
20 Apr 2024
64,894.00
Post-Halving N-Day Returns
Methodology: Uses the daily closing price (UTC) on the halving date as the baseline, and calculates the percentage return on day N after the halving. Samples are taken from historical halving cycles.
Statistic
Return
Minimum
--
Median
--
Maximum
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Sample Size
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Note: The sample size is small (currently only 4 halving events), so this chart is best used as a historical reference rather than a prediction tool.
Drawdown
Methodology: For the N days before and after each halving, we calculate the maximum drawdown (%, peak-to-trough decline).
A larger drawdown indicates a deeper price drop and a more difficult holding period.
Statistic
Pre-Halving Max Drawdown
Post-Halving Max Drawdown
Median
--
--
Worst Drawdown
--
--
Sample Size
--
BTC Seasonality: Which Days of the Year Perform Best?
Methodology: Daily returns are calculated using daily closing prices (UTC time), defined as (today’s close ÷ yesterday’s close − 1).
Samples are grouped by calendar date (month–day) across years to compute each date’s win rate and average return.
BTC annual seasonality heatmap
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Tap any date cell to view detailed statistics
Rank
Date
Win Rate
Samples
How Long Does It Take to Return to Profit?
Methodology: Using UTC daily closing prices as entry points, we measure how many days it takes for the price to first return to
or exceed the entry price. Entries that never recover are tracked separately.
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Note: This analysis does not account for position sizing, fees, or opportunity costs. It reflects historical price behavior only.P75 means that 75% of buy points recovered within the displayed number of days, while the remaining 25% took longer to break even.
P90 follows the same logic.
Note: BTC uses “new supply inflation”; Gold uses “supply growth”; USD uses “purchasing-power inflation (CPI) reference”.
They use different definitions and are shown for intuition only.
What Is the Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin reduces the block subsidy (also called the block subsidy) by half every 210,000 blocks. This happens roughly every four years and is designed to control issuance and enforce scarcity over time. The subsidy started at 50 BTC and has halved repeatedly: 50 → 25 → 12.5 → 6.25 → 3.125 → 1.5625 … eventually approaching 0. Using the long-term average of ~144 blocks/day, the current cycle issues about 3.125 × 144 ≈ 450 BTC/day; after the next halving it will be about 225 BTC/day. A miner’s total revenue = block subsidy + transaction fees (fees vary with on-chain demand and congestion).
Dates shown in the “Halving schedule” are estimates (ETA) derived from block height and average block interval. They may shift slightly as hashrate and difficulty change. The current cycle began on 2024-04-20 (height 840,000) with a subsidy of 3.125 BTC.
FAQ
When is the next Bitcoin halving?
The next Bitcoin halving is estimated around (UTC): 12 Apr 2028 at block height 1,050,000. It is about 712 days away. The block subsidy will drop to 1.5625 BTC. Because hashrate and difficulty change over time, the date can shift by a few days—this is normal.
Why does the Bitcoin halving happen about every 4 years?
Halving is a fixed rule in the Bitcoin protocol: every 210,000 blocks, the block subsidy paid to miners is cut in half. Since Bitcoin targets an average of one block every 10 minutes, 210,000 blocks takes roughly four years, so it’s often described as “once every four years.” The goal is to control issuance and gradually reduce new supply over time.
Will Bitcoin really have a maximum supply of 21 million?
Under the current Bitcoin consensus rules, yes. Because the subsidy halves every 210,000 blocks, it approaches zero over time, and the total issued supply converges to about 21,000,000 BTC. Unless the network adopts a major protocol change by broad consensus, this cap remains unchanged.
If everyone knows halving matters, why doesn’t price always spike on the halving day?
Because halving primarily changes long-term supply dynamics, not instant circulation. On the halving day, new issuance is reduced, but the circulating supply doesn’t suddenly jump. Historically, Bitcoin’s price impact has often played out over months (or even a year) after a halving rather than immediately.
Will miners shut off en masse and break the network after a halving?
Some higher-cost miners may exit in the short term, which is a normal adjustment. Bitcoin has a difficulty adjustment mechanism: if hashrate drops, difficulty can fall, and block times move back toward the ~10-minute target. Historically, the network has successfully adjusted after every halving.
With a lower subsidy after halving, how do miners earn revenue?
Miner revenue comes from two parts: the block subsidy and transaction fees. Over multiple halvings, the subsidy becomes a smaller portion and fees become relatively more important—this is part of Bitcoin’s long-term design.
Why does Bitcoin’s supply inflation keep decreasing?
Because new issuance keeps shrinking while total mined supply keeps growing. In simple terms: the numerator (new coins) gets smaller and the denominator (total supply) gets larger, so the annualized supply inflation tends to decrease over time and approach zero. Current annualized inflation is about 0.82%.
When the subsidy approaches zero, can Bitcoin still function securely?
Yes. The long-term expectation is that as the subsidy approaches zero, miners will be incentivized primarily through transaction fees. As long as the network is used and block space retains value, fees can provide ongoing incentives.
What does halving mean for regular BTC holders?
Halving doesn’t directly change how many BTC you hold, but it can change long-term supply-demand dynamics. For holders, the key points are: (1) slower new supply, (2) stronger long-term scarcity narrative, and (3) evolving market expectations around Bitcoin’s value proposition.
Why is the halving date different from other websites?
Some websites show a later halving date because they assume a different average block time (e.g., ~10.3–10.4 minutes per block). Bitcoin targets ~10 minutes, but the real average varies with hashrate and mining difficulty. In periods of rising hashrate, blocks can arrive faster than 10 minutes; in declining periods, slower. This site estimates the halving countdown using the current tip height and a real-time block interval assumption, aiming for a best-effort forecast under current conditions.
All data and calculations on this site (including Bitcoin halving dates and related metrics) are estimated based on publicly available Bitcoin protocol rules and historical price data. Actual results may vary due to natural fluctuations in block production. The data may be used as a public reference for Bitcoin halving research. This site does not provide price predictions or investment advice.
